Staff Report #3 – Status of Reserves & Reserve Funds – December 31, 2020

Staff Report #3

March 31, 2021

To All Commissioners

Re: Status of Reserves & Reserve Funds – December 31, 2020

Recommendation

The report be NOTED and FILED.

Background

The Commission has historically maintained six reserves and/or reserve funds, which are integral to the Commission’s financial plan. 2020 saw the addition of another reserve fund as a condition of the Safe Restart Agreement (SRA) funding provided by the federal and provincial governments to support capital requirements and operating shortfalls due to COVID-19.

Consistent with past practice this report is being presented as part of the annual year-end reporting. As part of the year-end process, the Commission’s reserves and reserve funds are assessed in an effort to determine whether the respective balances are within the associated administrative guidelines. If reserve or reserve fund balances are found to be outside of administrative guidelines, adjustments are made, either between reserves/reserve funds, or contributions from any available year-end operating budget surplus are made where warranted. The table below sets out the adjustments made to the reserves and reserve funds as part of the year-end process noting the balances provided in the specific tables following are all inclusive of the adjustments.

Reserve and Reserve Fund Adjustments – December 31, 2020

Description Guideline Indicator Preliminary Year End (Before) Adjust to / (from) Final Year End (After)
Balance

(millions)

Indicator Balance

(millions)

Indicator
Reserve Funds
Provincial Gas Tax Years available $13.261 0.7 $ – $13.261 0.8
Capital program Years available 5.205 6.2 1.000 6.205 8.0
Public liability % unencumbered 3.669 67.7% 1.000 4.669 74.6%
Safe Restart n/a 5.753 5.753
27.888 2.000 29.888
Reserves
Energy management % of energy costs 2.403 39.9%  0.800 3.203 53.2%
General operating % of expenditures 2.999 3.7% 2.999 3.9%
Health Care management % of benefit costs 3.783 26.4% 0.500 4.283 33.7%
9.186  1.300 10.486
$37.073 $3.300 $40.373

A summary of the seven reserves and reserve funds are set out in the following table, noting the Provincial Gas Tax Reserve Fund and Safe Restart Reserve Fund are a requirement under their respective program guidelines and requirements. The provisional estimates provided in this report are based on the Commission’s 2021 recosted budget and as well as the remaining years of the 2020-2023 approved multi-year budget.

Reserve and Reserve Fund Balances at December 31, 2020 (millions)

 Actual Estimate
Description 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Reserve Funds
Provincial Gas Tax reserve fund $11.393  $13.261 $6.715 $6.794 $5.898
Capital program reserve fund 5.228 6.205 5.051 4.438 3.752
Public liability reserve fund 3.800 4.669 4.360 4.051 3.743
Safe Restart reserve fund 5.753
$20.421  $29.888 $16.126 $15.283 $13.393
Reserves
Energy management reserve $2.403  $3.203 $3.203  $3.203  $3.203
General operating reserve 2.999 2.999 2.999 2.999 2.999
Health Care management reserve 3.403 4.283 4.283 4.283 4.283
 $8.805  $10.485 $10.485 $10.485  $10.485
 $29.226  $40.373 $26.611 $25.768  $23.878

The reserves and reserve funds, particularly over the last number of years when City of London investment has been subject to substantial constraints, have been critical in supporting:

  • the maintenance of transit infrastructure in a state of good repair, attaining an overall ranking of “very good – fit for the future”;
  • the maintenance of ridership gains, while supporting some service hour growth leading to ridership growth;
  • the ability to take advantage of senior level government funding programs that required matching or a portion of local funding;
  • the increase in expenditures not included in the initial multi-year budget and not eligible for increases to the City funding allocation; and
  • limiting the nature and extent of fare adjustments. The 2016-2019 multi-year budget had a series of planned fare increases that were deferred until 2020, thus aligning the increase with the completion of an aggressive service deficit reduction and improvements in overall service quality.

Reserves and reserve funds, as indicated in the following table, currently provide investment support of approximately 25.1% of total operating expenditure investment. This is a significant increase to the 11.7% originally planned, solely due to the reliance on Safe Restart funding in 2020 to offset the pandemic-related budget impacts. 2021 is projected to require a similar proportion of reserve funding to support operations, but is set to stabilize around 10% through the end of the current multi-year budget.

The reserve and reserve fund investments in capital expenditures as a percentage of the total have been fairly consistent in recent years with a planned bump in 2021 given the planned carry-forward of not yet initiated reserve supported capital projects. This is estimated to see a decline given the increased level of provincial and federal capital funding available through Phase II of the Public Infrastructure Funding.

Percent Funding Provided by Reserves and Reserve Funds

Actual Estimate
Description 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Percent of operating expenditure investment 20.1% 25.1% 24.4% 10.7% 10.4%
Percent of capital expenditure investment 32.2% 30.2% 49.1% 19.4% 26.9%

Reserves do not have identified assets – the reserves represent the Commission’s working capital supporting current operations. In 2020, investment returns on working capital largely accounted for the $147,500 in interest income applied to current operations.

Reserve funds have dedicated assets which are only used for the purpose defined by the reserve fund. Investment returns generated from reserve fund assets stay vested with the reserve fund. In 2020, investment returns on reserve funds totaled approximately $269,700. Given the steep decline in interest rates in 2020, interest returns were much less than in prior years.

The investment of working capital and reserve fund assets is limited by policy to highly secured, liquid interest bearing instruments such as all Commission bank accounts (all set up as paying 30 day term deposit rates) and term deposit certificates sought by request for quotations.

Provincial Gas Tax Reserve Fund

In 2004, the Province of Ontario announced the establishment of the Provincial Gas Tax Program (PGT) dedicated specifically for public transit services (conventional and specialized transit services). PGT funding supports operating and capital expenditure investment related to the maintenance and growth of services and ridership. The PGT program is a performance based program, with the annual moneys received by respective transit systems being based upon the transit service’s position in terms of population and ridership in relation to total population and total ridership for all Ontario public transit services. The amount of PGT moneys available is fixed at $0.02 per litre of gasoline sales in a given year. Annual allocations are placed in a reserve fund maintained by the transit service with the reserve fund being subject to annual reporting and audit to/by the Province.

The use of PGT is approved via the annual (multi-year) budget process, noting the extent of use is impacted by an LTC administrative guideline, which sets a minimum unallocated balance in the reserve fund at the end of each year. Initially, the administrative guideline called for the PGT reserve fund balance at the end of any one year to be sufficient to support three years of projected PGT share of approved capital and operating investment needs. The three year balance guideline recognized:

  • the continuance of the PGT program was subject to approval by the Province each year;
  • the amount to be received in any one year was variable in that it was subject to London’s ridership and population performance in comparison to all Ontario municipalities with public transit services. Further, the amount of money subject to allocation is predicated on annual gasoline sales which is considered variable given the sensitivity of oil pricing; and
  • given the growing dependency on PGT funding to support operations (capital and operating) sufficient time was required to adjust capital and operating budget expectations should the PGT program be discontinued or London’s share of annual allocation decline.

The three year administrative guideline was modified in 2014 moving to a reserve fund balance at the end of any one year equal to 1.5 years of planned use. The change coincided with the Ontario Government announcement that the PGT was being made permanent vs. a year over year budget decision. It also recognized the need to invest in service growth, recognizing service deficits, to maintain and grow ridership, which in turn impacts the amount of PGT to be received.

The following table sets out the actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021-2023. It should be noted that the provincial contributions for 2021/2022 and beyond are estimates based on current allocations; however, given the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic emergency provisions and the significant declines in travel, the available amount of funding available next year based on a two cent per litre of fuel is not certain. In the 2020/2021 funding letter, the ministry recognized the impact that COVID-19 has had on municipal transit systems in 2020 and is continuing to monitor the impacts to key elements, such as municipal transit ridership and the availability of funding that is generated from the sale of gasoline, as these influence the Gas Tax allocations going forward.

Provincial Gas Tax Reserve Fund (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Opening balance  $16.946  $11.393  $13.261  $6.715  $6.794
Provincial contributions 10.342 10.657  11.145  11.368 11.595
Investment income 0.424 0.172 0.175 0.268 0.268
Approved expenditure
capital (1.668) (1.833)  (6.616) (2.159) (3.171)
operating – conventional (11.546) (5.700) (9.544) (7.638) (7.791)
operating – specialized (3.105) (1.428) (1.706) (1.761) (1.798)
Closing balance  $11.393  $13.261  $6.715  $6.794  $5.898
Budget expenditure investment – funded by PGT  $8.961  $17.866  $11.557  $12.759  $12.759
Years available at December 31 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5

2017 through 2019 saw increased pressure on the Provincial Gas Tax Reserve Fund from the operating and capital side which has led to a significant reduction in the reserve fund balance compared to historical levels. The fund was somewhat depleted to support the additional capital projects funded by the federal Public Transit Infrastructure Fund program, to cover the deferral of planned fare increases (until service levels and overall quality were improved) and increases in operating expenses attributed to minimum wage increases, all absorbed, eliminating the need to request additional funding from the City through the annual budget review process. These decisions at the time were supported by the government’s announcement of the plan to double the Provincial Gas Tax program, as noted above.

Given this reduction in balance, use of Provincial Gas Tax was reduced to sustainable levels for operating expenditures planned in the multi-year budget with the residual amounts available for ongoing capital requirements. The capital projects included in the multi-year budget had resulted in a planned net depletion of the reserve and was expected to reduce the balance to nearly nil by the end of the current multi-year budget timeframe.

2020 saw a reduction in planned funding for both operating and capital expenditures. Safe Restart Funding was utilized to support additional COVID-19 related capital projects (Operator Barrier project) as well as revenue shortfalls and expenditure increases.

Consistent with the direction provided by the Commission with the approval of the multi-year budgets, the administrative guideline for this reserve will not be met over the next four years.

Capital Program Reserve Fund

The capital program reserve fund is used to fund:

  • information system hardware and software costs, maximum cost per any one asset of $100,000;
  • bus maintenance and servicing tools – average cost of $100,000 per year;
  • purchase of shop and garage equipment, maximum cost per any one asset of $100,000;
  • purchase of replacement and expansion service fleet;
  • stop upgrades and expansion re: signs, landing pads, and shelters – maximum any one year $100,000; and
  • other such capital related projects as approved by a specific resolution of the Commission from time to time or as part of the annual budget program approval (i.e. approved program where no other funding is available or when same is limited).

The capital program reserve fund supports capital investment needs that are not supported by capital investment from the City of London. Without the fund, the LTC would need to seek additional capital funding in the area of $500,000 to $1,000,000 per year from the City. On average the capital program reserve fund supports approximately 6.0% of annual capital expenditure investment needs.

The annual contribution to the capital program reserve fund from operations consists of:

  • annual contributions based upon the amortized cost (total cost depreciated over useful life of the asset) of the identified assets funded from the reserve fund;
  • proceeds from disposal of assets (largely buses); and
  • additional contributions as may be necessary from time to time given demands on the reserve fund to support capital investment needs ensuring that the fund balance at the end of any one year is sufficient to cover, as a minimum, seven years of planned capital expenditure to a maximum of 10 years. Any additional contributions are generated from net favourable operating performance and/or the restructuring between reserves and reserve funds.

Actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021-2023 are summarized in the following table.

Capital Program Reserve Fund (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Opening balance  $4.307  $5.228  $6.205  $5.051  $4.438
Contributions – capital cost amortization 0.315 0.328 0.250 0.250 0.250
Contributions – from operating 1.000 1.000
Investment income 0.100 0.057 0.060 0.060 0.060
Capital expenditure (0.494) (0.407) (1.464) (0.923) (0.996)
Closing balance  $5.228  $6.205  $5.051  $4.438  $3.752
Budget allocation (new expenditure investment)  $0.494  $0.407  $1.464  $0.923  $0.996
Years available at December 31 6.5 8.0 8.0 7.6 7.2

The administrative guidelines for the reserve fund calls for the fund to have, at a minimum, a balance at the end of any one year sufficient assets to support seven years of planned capital investment. The maximum balance is 10 years. In 2020, an additional contribution from operations was made to the reserve to improve its standing and thus at year end the reserve fund is in good standing at 8.0 years. From 2021-2023 the reserve is maintained within the guideline.

Public Liability Reserve Fund

The public liability reserve fund is used to fund:

  • annual public liability claims costs up to the established deductible amount, which for pre-1998 claims, is $100,000, 1999 to 2020 is $50,000 per incident, and 2020 forward is $100,000; and
  • annual accident benefit claims costs up to the established deductible amount, which for pre-2006 claims, is $10,000 per accident, 2006 to 2020 is $50,000 per incident, and 2020 forward is $100,000.

As noted above, the deductible during the 2020-2021 renewal (as at July 1, 2020), increased to $100,000 for both public liability and accident benefit claims. Pressure during this renewal and the prior had been increasing to renew with a higher deductible as the insurance company was looking to reduce its risks. Indications during the renewal are for this trend to continue with pressures to continue to raise deductible levels expected to continue.

In addition, the reserve fund would be used to support other property and liability claims costs, not covered by an insurance policy and/or as part of the policy deductible program.

Actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021-2023 are summarized in the following table.

Public Liability Reserve Fund (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Opening balance  $3.011  $3.800  $4.669  $4.360  $4.051
Contributions – current operations 1.400 1.400 0.400 0.400 0.400
Investment income 0.073 0.041 0.060 0.060 0.060
Insurance claims costs
– accident benefits (0.604) (0.456) (0.603) (0.603) (0.603)
– public liability (0.080) (0.116) (0.166) (0.166) (0.166)
 Closing balance  $3.800  $4.669  $4.360  $4.051  $3.743
Outstanding – deductible claims cost at Dec. 31  $1.674  $ 1.186  $1.674  $1.674  $1.674
Unencumbered 2.126 3.483 2.686 2.377 2.069
 $3.800  $4.669  $4.360  $4.051  $3.743
Percent unencumbered 55.9% 74.6% 61.6% 58.7% 55.3%

The administrative guideline applying to the reserve fund calls for an unencumbered balance of between 55% and 65%. In prior years this balance had been declining with the increased trend of outstanding claims from 2016 to 2018. An additional contribution from operations of $1.0 million to the reserve fund was required in 2019 to keep the reserve within its guideline. At the end of 2020, outstanding claims have declined most certainly a result of fewer claims during the pandemic period. Another $1.0 million contribution was made at year end which places the reserve fund in excess of the administrative guideline of 65%, but as noted in the table, expectations for 2021-2023 require this contribution to keep the fund just at the minimum 55% by the end of 2023.

Safe Restart Reserve Fund

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an unprecedented need for financial support for municipal transit. The Government of Canada entered into the Safe Restart Agreement with the Government of Ontario delivering up to $2 billion to help Ontario municipalities keep their transit systems running and relieve financial pressures created by COVID-19. Through the Safe Restart Agreement (SRA), the Government of Ontario and the Government of Canada are responding to municipalities’ needs for transit support.

Details with respect to the various phases of funding that has been announced through the SRA are set out in Staff Report #6, dated March 31, 2021.

Given the requirements of the agreement with the Province, the Safe Restart Agreement Reserve Fund was established with a separate bank account required to track the funding and expenditures. The following table sets out the actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021.

Safe Restart Agreement Reserve Fund (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022
Opening balance  $ –  $ –  $5.753  $ 13.520
Provincial contributions 18.524  18.105
Investment income 0.028
Approved expenditure
capital (1.427)
operating – conventional (12.278) (11.336)
operating – specialized 0.906 0.998
Closing balance  $ –  $5.753  $13.520  $ 13.520

As noted in the above table, $18.524 million was received in 2020 from Phase I funding. $1.427 million was utilized to support the Operator Barrier capital project, along with $12.278 million in operating funding to support the losses sustained in conventional transit. $0.906 million in specialized transit expenditures were saved due to the reduction of contracted service hours and was used to offset the additional expenditures and revenue shortfall noted above.

The contribution of $18.1 million in 2021 represents the Phase III funding that will be transferred prior to March 31, 2021 and deposited into the reserve.

Consistent with the Phase III funding guidelines, the opportunity exists for municipalities to request an extension for use of any unused funding to cover eligible expenditures for the period January 2022 through March 2022. The decision with respect to whether this application will need to be filed will be contingent on 2021 budget performance and the projected use of the SRA funds. Given the current criteria associated with this funding, and the latest possible extension for use of funding being March 31, 2022, projections for future years is not provided.

General Operating Reserve

The general operating reserve is primarily intended to fund, as a short-term measure, net unfavourable operating budget performance, where the opportunity exists to defer, in whole or in part, fare adjustments, expenditure cuts and/or requests for additional funding from the City of London within a budget year.

Using the reserve for such purpose is decided upon either at the annual re-costing of the current operating budget or as recommendation via the ongoing monitoring of the annual operating budget to address any net unfavourable operating budget performance.

The reserve is considered critical given the challenges associated with predicting such budget components as ridership, related average fare, energy prices, etc. The reserve guidelines provide the basis for maintaining a reasonable reserve balance. Actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021-2023 are summarized in the following table.

General Operating Reserve (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Opening balance  $2.999  $2.999  $2.999  $2.999  $2.999
Contribution from/(to) operations
 Closing balance  $2.999  $2.999  $2.999  $2.999  $2.999
Total expenditure  $81.815  $76.019  $91.507  $95.285  $99.324
Reserve as % of operating expenditure 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0%

As noted in the table, the balance in the reserve at December 31, 2020 and that projected for 2021-2023 are consistent with the administrative guideline of maintaining a reserve balance of between 2.5% and 5.0% of total direct operating expenditure and as such the reserve is considered to be in good standing.

Energy Management Reserve

Contributions to and from the energy management reserve relate, for the most part, to actual vs. budget performance for consumption and pricing of energy (diesel fuel, natural gas and hydro). There are no scheduled (budgeted) contributions to, or draws from the reserve. Such activity is performance based i.e. determined based upon overall actual to budget operating performance.

Actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021-2023 is summarized in the following table.

Energy Management Reserve (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Opening balance  $3.203  $2.403 $3.203 $3.203 $3.203
Contribution – current operating surplus  (0.800) 0.800
Closing balance  $2.403 $3.203  $3.203 $3.203 $3.203
Estimated total energy costs (diesel, hydro)  $8.029  $6.019  $8.148  $9.395  $9.737
Reserve balance as a % of energy cost 29.9% 53.2% 39.3% 34.1% 32.9%

As set out in the table, the reserve balance at December 31, 2020 and expression as a percentage of energy has exceeded the administrative guideline of maintaining a reserve balance of between 25% and 35% of annual energy costs. As a direct result of the pandemic, fuel consumption and price variances, along with favourable facility heating and cooling costs contributed to a significant reduction in overall energy expenditures. Thus, on a one-time basis, the reserve has ended the year beyond the guideline at 53.2% of estimated energy costs. Expected energy expenditures over 2021-2023 are expected to return to originally planned levels, thus supporting a year end contribution of $0.8 million that places the reserve within its guidelines in 2021-2023.

The reserve is considered to be in good standing.

Health Care Management Reserve

The health care management reserve is used to:

  • fund, in whole or in part, a progressive return to work program for both work and non-work related injuries and illnesses;
  • fund unfavourable retrospective Workplace Safety Insurance Board (WSIB) assessment for years of poor claims experience; and
  • fund, in part retrospectively, the impact of any significant increase in premiums relating to non-insured extended health care, vision and dental plan employment benefits noting such adjustments augment the deposit account, held by the carrier, on LTC’s behalf which is targeted to be sufficient to cover up to one year of premium payments.

The use of the reserve to support a progressive Return to Work program (RTW) is a critical component of LTC’s attendance and disability management program, both in terms of managing the amount of time lost and the related short and long-term claims cost.

Historically contributions to the reserve have been performance based, that is, they were largely based upon WSIB’s NEER rebates. LTC has been a Schedule I Employer, meaning WSIB costs are premium based (rated). Rebates are reflective of favourable claims and loss experience for the respective years which in part is as a result of having a progressive RTW program coupled with significant work in health and safety training including ergonomic assessments.

As noted in the following table, NEER rebates have represented a premium reduction of 20.3% providing approximately $2.0 million over the period being applied to the reserve to support the RTW program and other reserve purposes.

Summary of WSIB Premiums, NEER Rebates and RTW Costs (millions)

Year Gross WSIB Premiums Premium Rebate (NEER) Net WSIB Cost Net Premium Rate (per $100 payroll) RTW Program Direct Cost
2014  $1,572,946  $(371,378) $1,201,568 $3.90  $180,980
2015 1,636,471 (347,425) 1,289,047 4.03 247,614
2016 1,711,610 (199,772) 1,511,838 4.51 366,188
2017 1,806,427  (168,571) 1,637,856 4.63 449,795
2018 1,929,832  (597,752) 1,322,080 3.62 310,874
2019 1,357,307  (347,467) 1,009,840 2.58 455,794
Total  $10,014,594  $(2,032,365)  $7,982,228  $3.85  $2,011,245
Percent Reduction of Rebate 20.3%
Percentage of Rebates Reinvested 99%

As indicated, 99% of the premium rebates have been applied to the RTW program. Other contributions have been made to the reserve from operations from time to time based upon a net overall favourable operating budget performance and the need to maintain a reserve balance within the established administrative guidelines. In 2020, an additional contribution of $0.5 million was made from operations given the increased pressures on short-term disability.

Changes to the current WSIB program were introduced in 2020 and will impact the manner in which contributions can made to the reserve going forward. 2019 was the last calendar year of the NEER program with the final settlement for 2016 to 2019 completed in December 2020. The purpose of the program change is to eliminate the uncertainty of the rebate process and commit to a consistent premium level on an annualized basis for employers. As performance fluctuates, so will the rates on a graduated scale, meant to soften the impacts to employers. The introduction of a lower rate for WSIB premiums in 2020 will reduce the premiums but at the same time, the rebate will be eliminated and thus the source as a contribution to the reserve. In preparation for this change, the multi-year budget was established with no net changes in premiums and as such, the savings in actual premiums can be used to support contributions to the reserve directly from operations. In other words, the previous contribution from NEER rebates will now be supported by the savings due to lower premiums.

Actual reserve fund activity for 2020 and provisional estimates for 2021-2023 are summarized in the following table.

Health Care Management Reserve (millions)

 Description  Actual Estimate
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Opening balance  $2.363  $3.403  $4.283  $4.283  $4.283
Contributions – Neer rebate 1.040 0.380
Contribution from Operations 0.500 0.464 0.474 0.483
Return to work program cost (0.464) (0.474) (0.483)
Closing balance  $3.403  $4.283  $4.283  $4.283  $4.283
Employment benefit cost (excl. Neer rebate)  $12.895  $12.688  $15.102  $15.404  $15.522
Reserve as percent of employment benefit cost 26.4% 33.8% 28.4% 27.8% 27.6%

The administrative guidelines call for the reserve to have a balance at the end of any one fiscal year of between 20% and 30% of employment benefit costs. The reserve is considered to be in good standing.

Recommended by:

Mike Gregor, Director of Finance

Concurred in by:

Kelly S. Paleczny, General Manager